Last weekend I was pleased to see headline bet old boy Gino’s Trail win!
This weather is driving me and I’m sure all of you mad and I have to say this weekends racing is some of the poorest I’ve seen, but there’s winners to find and ITV have sent their cameras to Ayr and Wolverhampton.
I will give the all weather a swerve tomorrow as I’ve been focussing on jumps racing at this time of year. It’s been hard to find any bets, but my best bet has to be in the
2-30 Ayr, that selection is OFF THE HOOK at around 4-1.
She’s not the most reliable animal winning once in sixteen starts, but she is very much handicapped to run well and really should win this.
She loves soft/heavy ground, has course form of -042316, stable is 3-9 in the last two weeks with the last two winning.
A couple of runs stick out to me, firstly first time out this year virtually over c/d on similar going, she was travelling every bit as well as winner and current favourite Jessiemac until she blew up needing the run approaching two out, she now has a massive thirteen pound pull in the weights and was a shorter price that day too.
Then there was the superb run in the Grade 2 EBF Mares final where she finished fourth of a handicap mark of 121, tomorrow she’s dropped in class (two grades) and running of a mark eight pound lower, 113.
Unfortunately I can’t find any other bets on the TV Saturday, but I do like one more on the Ayr card, that horse is in the 3-40 ALOOMOMO, at around 4-1.
It’s unusual to go for a ten-year-old chaser in a novice hurdle, but this does not look the strongest novice race to say the least. I’ve always liked chasers going back over hurdles in bottomless going, especially against inexperienced opposition.
Aloomomo won a handicap chase on heavy going at Kelso in January and tried to follow up under a penalty week later here at Ayr, he travelled very well but the two races back to back took there toll after the last.
Marown will have to be pretty useful to give him the six pounds here and I’m not sure about other danger Penny Blak, as he’s only had two runs in two years and still hasn’t jumped a hurdle in public yet.
I can’t wait until next week and the Cheltenham festival, with that in mind I do have one more bet for the weekend and that’s on Sunday.
I was really sweet on a horse called ENTOUCAS for the Imperial Cup at the abandoned Sandown, he now runs in the 3-45 at Naas. I am hoping for an each way price, as it’s a Listed Novice Hurdle, if he’s too short then back him to win.
His form is very good with a few lines really appealing, the second to subsequent Supreme winner last year Klassical Charm a quality run, also this year he was only 6/1 to beat Cheltenham favourite Envoi Allen, only beaten ten lengths.
He finally got his head in front last time here at Naas, easily beating a very solid yardstick in Fakiera, who chased home Jon Snow last week in a good novice hurdle at Leopardstown. I thought this horse was a bet if he got in a handicap at Cheltenham next week, if he was to win here he might get the penalty needed to run in one next week!
Be lucky this weekend, as usual gamble responsibly!
1 POINT E/W (2-30 AYR) OFF THE HOOK
1 POINT E/W (3-40 AYR) ALOOMOMO
1 POINT E/W (3-45 NAAS SUNDAY) ENTOUCAS