Last weekend was a good one as we nearly had three out of three winners and the day’s best bet DEISE ABA won, let’s hope for more of the same tomorrow!
There’s some excellent racing taking place at Newbury on Saturday and some big names will be having their last prep race before Cheltenham.
The only place to start to look to have a bet in is the fiendishly difficult Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) Newbury 3-35.
In recent years novices have an exceptional record, winning 8 out of the last 10 runnings, six of those being handicap debutantes.
This is the obvious place to start and my first selection is a novice running in his first handicap THEBANNERKINGREBEL at around 8-1. Last time out he was beaten by Stolen Silver, but I expect him to reverse the form as he has a twelve pound weight pull, was hampered near the finish by the second and started a much shorter price too. He was good enough to come second in a G2 bumper at Aintree last year and if cutting out the odd jumping error he has a superb chance tomorrow.
The other one and my best bet of the day is the Nigel Twiston-Davies second-string novice, SIR VALENTINE at around 18-1.
NTD has an excellent record in this race winning three of the last six runnings, Sir Valentine has a course and distance win, but I really liked his debut run at Chepstow when falling. He was right in the mix at the last with very good novices such as Ofallthegingoints/Harry Senior and Proschema (form ties in with Thebannerkingrebel).
Last time out behind Not So Sleepy, he was hampered badly early, could never really get a clear run and constantly got messed around, the seventeen pound weight pull with the winner is handy too!
Because of the extra places on offer in this race I’m going to suggest a small saver each way on the Gary Moore trained NEFF at around 40-1, Gary has won this race three times, he’s a novice, a handicap debutante and has a similar chance to Ecco who is half his price.
The only other race I’m playing in this weekend is the 1-50 Newbury and I’m suggesting an each way bet on ACEY MILAN at around 8-1. Trainer Anthony Honeyball continues in good form, his last two horses have won and Acey Milan won the listed bumper on this card two years ago, so likes the course. His first two runs this season were very good, especially his second run where he all but won at Haydock, only to get chinned right near the finish by Stoney Mountain. He disappointed last time at short odds, but I think that run came too soon after the previous very hard race he had.
Be lucky this weekend and gamble responsibly!
1 PT E/W THEBANNERKINGREBEL
1 PT E/W SIR VALENTINE
½ PT E/W NEFF
1 PT E/W ACEY MILAN