CAPELAND 0.5 PT E/W
SOUL EMOTION 1 PT E/W
AINTREE MY DREAM 0.5 PT E/W
VINTAGE CLOUDS 1 PT E/W
RED INDIAN 0.5 PT E/W
This Saturdays main racing takes place at Ascot and Haydock, with ITV4 coverage at both. Let’s hope both meetings take place as the rain has been relentless all week causing several abandonments.
There is excellent racing at both meetings and there looks an opportunity for a few bets.
Starting at Ascot, the race of the day is the Grade 1 Clarence house Chase at 3:35. Out of the front two in the betting I do prefer the old boy Un De Sceaux, as he’s two from two in this race, whereas Defi Du Sueil’s only course run was a disappointing odds on defeat.
However, I do think CAPELAND could be overpriced here at around the 25/1 mark. I suggest a small each way bet if there are five going to post. Ascot is a funny course and does lead itself to course specialists and Capeland’s two best runs have been here and only has a few pounds to find on Racing Post ratings with the front two. The selection is also 2 from 2 on heavy ground.
The 2:25 looks a difficult betting puzzle, the only bit of value I could eke out was on SOUL EMOTION at around the 8/1 mark. A very solid run last time, but I am looking back to it’s last visit to Berkshire only three runs ago in December 2018 where it finished 5th beaten only 7 odd lengths behind Paisley Park in the long walk hurdle. A reproduction of that run over this ½ mile shorter trip and he has to be bang there. If all eight go to post I suggest 1 point ew.
The 3:00 is an even trickier puzzle. I am suggesting a very small ew bet on AINTREE MY DREAM at around the 33/1 mark. He can be very in and out, but does go well on heavy ground and ran very well over this course and distance two runs back. For a ten year old he doesn’t have too many miles on the clock and could be handicapped to win again.
My bet of the day runs in the 2:40 Peter Marsh Chase: VINTAGE CLOUDS. Sue Smith has won two of the last four runnings of this so knows what type of horse it takes to win this stamina sapping race. At around the 8/1 mark Vintage Clouds is excellent each way value and has an unbelievable course form of 12222F3213, the only time he’s been out of the frame here when falling. He can be in and out but remember it’s only four runs since he was sent off favourite to win the Scottish National and he is a pound lower than when second in the Ultima Handicap chase. A saver is suggested on RED INDIAN who literally could be anything and is best caught fresh. His 4th in the Kauto Star Novice Chase last year was an excellent run and based on that is well handicapped and unexposed if staying the distance.